Across the measured metro distribution, median home-value growth was 5.2% versus 3.5% rent growth, leaving rent growth 1.7 percentage points behind. Median employment growth was negative 0.4% across 25 metros, while migration across 72 counties was positive by only 442 people, or 0.075 per 1,000 residents.
Counter-signals matter: selected metros posted rent growth above price growth, two named labor markets added jobs, and inbound aggregate mover income exceeded outbound income. Screening should therefore be local and should distinguish appreciation, tenant demand, rentable vacancy and gross yield. The packet does not establish property-level occupancy, achievable rent, operating expenses, unit condition, insurance cost or parcel-level hazard exposure.
